Background: The clinical events surrounding acute HIV-1 infection have
been well described, but little is known about whether the virologic
course of acute HIV-1 infection influences the subsequent progression
of disease. Objective: To define the virologic natural history of acut
e and very early HIV infection. Design: Prospective, longitudinal coho
rt study. Setting: University of Washington Research Clinic. Participa
nts: 74 adults enrolled soon after acquisition of HIV (mean, 69 days).
Measurements: Plasma HIV-1 RNA levels; quantitative cell cultures; CD
4 cell counts; and detailed clinical assessments done at study entry,
biweekly for 1 month, monthly for 2 months, and quarterly thereafter.
Results: In the first 30 days after acquisition of HIV, HIV-1 RNA leve
ls varied greatly among participants (range, 27 200 to 1.6 x 10(6) cop
ies per mt of plasma). Levels of HIV-1 RNA decreased by a mean of 6.5%
per week for the first 120 days and then increased by a mean of 0.15%
per week. CD4 cell counts decreased by a mean of 5.2 cells/mm(3) per
week for the first 160 days and by a mean of 1.9 cells/mm(3) per week
thereafter (P < 0.01). Disease progressed faster in participants who s
ought medical care for their acute seroconversion syndrome (P = 0.01)
and those who had high plasma HIV-1 RNA levels 120 to 365 days after a
cquisition (P < 0.01). Peak levels in the first 120 days were not pred
ictive of disease progression. Conclusions: The variability in viral R
NA levels associated with acute HIV-1 infection is greater than previo
usly appreciated. Within 120 days of acquisition, plasma HIV RNA level
s rapidly decrease to an inflection point, after which they gradually
increase. Virus-host interactions soon after acquisition seem to have
a major influence on the long-term outcome of HIV-1 disease.