THE EFFICIENCY OF INVESTMENT INFORMATION

Authors
Citation
E. Erkip et Tm. Cover, THE EFFICIENCY OF INVESTMENT INFORMATION, IEEE transactions on information theory, 44(3), 1998, pp. 1026-1040
Citations number
23
Categorie Soggetti
Computer Science Information Systems","Engineering, Eletrical & Electronic","Computer Science Information Systems
ISSN journal
00189448
Volume
44
Issue
3
Year of publication
1998
Pages
1026 - 1040
Database
ISI
SICI code
0018-9448(1998)44:3<1026:TEOII>2.0.ZU;2-B
Abstract
We investigate how the description of a correlated information V impro ves the investment in the stock market X. The objective is to maximize the growth rate of wealth in repeated investments. We find a single-l etter characterization of the incremental growth rate Delta(R), the ma ximum increase in growth rate when V is described to the investor at r ate R. The incremental growth rate specialized to the horse race marke t is related to source coding with side information of Wyner and Ahlsw ede-Korner. We provide two horse race examples: jointly binary and joi ntly Gaussian. The initial efficiency Delta'(0) is the maximum possibl e increase in the growth rate per bit of description. We show that the initial efficiency is related to the dependency between V and the mar ket. In particular, for the horse race market, the initial efficiency is the square of the Hirschfeld-Gebelein-Renyi maximal correlation bet ween V and X. This provides a connection with the hypercontraction of the Markov operator of Ahlswede and Gacs. For the general market the i nitial efficiency is 1 when the side information V is equal to the sto ck market outcome X.