Bj. Gibbs, EVOLVING NULL HYPOTHESES AND THE BASE-RATE FALLACY - A FUNCTIONAL INTERPRETATION OF SCIENTIFIC MYTH, Behavioral and brain sciences, 20(4), 1997, pp. 776
The meaning of an experimental result depends on the experiment's conc
eptual backdrop, particularly its null hypothesis. This observation pr
ovides the basis for a functional interpretation of belief in the base
rate fallacy. On this interpretation, if the base rate fallacy is to
be labelled a ''myth,'' then it should be recognized that this label i
s not necessarily a disparaging one.