The aim of our study was to obtain measurements of the umbilical arter
y pulsatility index (PI) in pregnancies before invasive procedures for
prenatal diagnosis, in order to investigate its potential prognostic
value in predicting trisomy 18. We performed a prospective study inclu
ding 1785 consecutive women from 10 to 18 weeks with singleton pregnan
cies undergoing chorionic villus sampling (n=559) or genetic amniocent
esis (n=1226) in our unit. Doppler measurements were performed transva
ginally (tenth to 13th week of gestation) or transabdominally (14th to
18th week of gestation) immediately before the invasive procedure. In
7 out of 10 fetuses subsequently diagnosed as trisomy 18, the PI was
above the 95th centile, providing a detection rate of 70 per cent, a s
pecificity of 95.1 per cent, a positive predictive value of 7.7 per ce
nt, and a negative predictive value of 99.8 per cent. When the 90th pe
rcentile was assayed as a cut-off, the efficacy of PI as a marker of t
risomy 18 yielded a sensitivity of 90 per cent and a specificity of 90
.4 per cent, with a positive predictive value of 5.2 per cent and a ne
gative predictive value of 99.9 per cent. We suggest that although the
use of a single PI measurement for screening purposes needs to be con
firmed by further investigation, trisomy 18 fetuses show an abnormal i
ncrease in umbilical PI in the first half of pregnancy, and its relati
on to the early onset of fetal growth retardation needs to be further
explored. (C) 1997 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.