The development of a quantitative kinetic scheme is a central goal in
mechanistic studies of biological phenomena. For fast-folding proteins
, which lack experimentally observable kinetic intermediates, a quanti
tative kinetic scheme describing the order and rate of events during f
olding has yet to be developed. In the present study. the folding mech
anism of monomeric lambda repressor is described using the diffusion-c
ollision model and estimates of intrinsic alpha-helix propensities. Th
e model accurately predicts the folding rates of the wild-type protein
and five of eight previously studied Ala <-> Gly variants and suggest
s that the folding mechanism is distributed among multiple pathways th
at are highly sensitive to the amino acid sequence. For example, the m
odel predicts that the wild-type protein folds through a small number
of pathways with a folding time of 260 mu s. However, the folding of a
variant (G46A/G48A) is predicted to fold through a large number of pa
thways with a folding time of 12 mu s. Both folding times quantitative
ly agree with the experimental values at 37 degrees C extrapolated to
0 M denaturant. The quantitative nature of the diffusion-collision mod
el allows for rigorous experimental tests of the theory.