U. Sancken et A. Rempen, THE RELEVANCE OF THE GESTATIONAL-AGE WITH REGARD TO THE INDIVIDUAL RISK CALCULATION FOR FETAL DOWN-SYNDROME IN THE COURSE OF SERUM SCREENING, Geburtshilfe und Frauenheilkunde, 58(4), 1998, pp. 219-224
Purpose: Individual risk assessment for fetal Down syndrome by use of
serum markers (known as triple screening) involves several systematica
l errors which may significantly reduce the specificity of risk calcul
ation. Concentrations of serum markers as human choriongonadotropin (h
CG), unconjugated estriol (uE(3)), and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) are sig
nificantly correlated with the gestational age. Is it possible to mini
mise misjudgement of the gestational age as one of the most common and
important sources of error in risk calculation? Method and Materials:
The present study includes 11207 cases of routine triple-screen exami
nations where gynaecologists reported in combination: the individual d
ata of crown-rump length (CRL) - 1 st trimester, biparietal diameter (
BPD) - 1 st/2nd trimester, and gestational age derived from the doctor
's specific biometrical criteria and tables. All these data were conve
rted to gestational days using standardised tables and were extrapolat
ed to the day of blood sampling. The resulting distributions of differ
ences in gestational age estimation were compared to each other. Resul
ts: Comparisons revealed that the gestational age reported by the gyna
ecologists was overestimated in 73.4% of cases as to the age derived f
rom BPD, and in 63.2% of cases as to the age derived from CRL. Compari
ng the gestational age derived from CRL (Ist trimester) and BPD (2nd t
rimester) only 55% of cases were overestimated and 34.7% of cases were
underestimated by BPD. Conclusion: The systematical increase of calcu
lated risk caused by overestimation of the gestational age results in
a surplus of indicated amniocenteses which may by avoided by the use o
f specific sonographical parameters (CRL - 1st trimester, BPD - 2nd tr
imester) and by the use of standardised tables.