AIR-QUALITY IMPACTS AS A RESULT OF CHANGES IN ENERGY USE IN CHINA JIANGSU PROVINCE

Potential changes in air quality associated with increases in SO2 emis sions resulting from industrial growth for Jiangsu Province and the Sh anghai Municipality in China are evaluated for the years 1990 (current ) and 2010 (future) with a ''no further control'' scenario. Two long-r ange transport models are used to estimate airborne concentrations and deposition of SO2 and sulfate, based on available data on emissions o riginating from area and major point sources. Modeling results demonst rate how human health and ecological impacts are related to the projec ted scenario of industrial growth, in terms of the critical level (or concentration) and critical loads. The current approach provides an ef fective and valuable tool for preliminary assessment of potential impa cts of these changes on human health and critical ecosystems in the re gion for use in integrated energy and environmental risk assessments. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.