A. Naess, STATISTICAL EXTRAPOLATION OF EXTREME-VALUE DATA-BASED ON THE PEAKS OVER THRESHOLD METHOD, Journal of offshore mechanics and Arctic engineering, 120(2), 1998, pp. 91-96
This paper discusses the use of the peaks over threshold method for es
timating long return period design values of environmental loads. Atte
ntion is focused on the results concerning the type of asymptotic extr
eme value distribution for use in the extrapolation to required design
values obtained by such methods, which in many cases seem to indicate
that the Weibull distribution for maxima is the appropriate one. It w
ill be shown by a closer scrutiny of the underlying estimation process
that very often such a conclusion cannot in fact be substantiated.