Floral surveys were carried out on a field of 28 m x 100 m on the node
s of a regular 2 m x 2 m grid, using a rectangular sampling area of 25
cm x 30 cm. In total, 765 units were sampled, each one characterized
by the spatial co-ordinates and the number of seedlings of different w
eed species. The spatial representation of the weeds was obtained with
kriging. Simulations were carried out for Amaranthus spp., which had
the highest frequency and density (221 plants m(-2)), and Portulaca ol
eracea L., a species that combined a more aggregated distribution with
a medium-high density (27 plants m(-2)). The results obtained clearly
indicated that the usefulness of geostatistical procedures depends on
the type of question posed by the user. If the goal is to estimate we
ed density and, consequently, crop yield loss, kriging appears to over
burden the decision-making process, without improving the estimates ob
tained. This procedure becomes useful for obtaining weed infestation m
aps to be used for intermittent spraying applications. The reliability
of these maps increases with the number of samples used for kriging.
With the more aggregated species, at least 50 samples are required to
obtain an infestation map. The reduction in the area to be treated dep
ends on the threshold level adopted and on the number of samples used
for kriging. With a threshold around the break-even point for most pos
t-emergence treatments, this reduction varies from 10% to 40% with map
s obtained from 50 and 175 samples respectively. The usefulness of inf
estation maps obtained with kriging for improving the decision-making
process is strictly dependent on the weed patch dynamics: if these pat
ches remain relatively stable over time, kriging can be carried out pe
riodically without overburdening the decision-making process, whereas,
if they are not stable, maps need to be drawn up each year, with a si
gnificant increase in costs.