This paper studies decision-making with rules of thumb in the context of dy
namic decision problems and compares it to dynamic programming. A rule is a
fixed mapping from a subset of states into actions. Rules are compared by
averaging over past experiences. This can lead to favoring rules which are
only applicable in good states. Correcting this good state bias requires so
lving the dynamic program. We provide a general framework and characterize
the asymptotic properties, We apply it to provide a candidate explanation f
or the sensitivity of consumption to transitory income. (JEL E00, C63, C61,
E21).