This study examines the timing of security returns associated with ind
ustry-wide earnings and firm-specific earnings. We predict and find th
at returns associated with differences in performance across industrie
s begin and end earlier than returns associated with differences in fi
rm-specific performance within industries. To earn abnormal profits, a
trading strategy based on forecasts of future earnings would require
earlier predictions of industry-wide earnings than of firm-specific ea
rnings. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.