This study determined the relevance of preadolescent psychopathology a
nd substance use for predicting early adolescent alcohol and cannabis
involvement in boys of fathers with and without substance use disorder
s (SUD). Fathers of preadolescent boys (ages 10 through 12 years) were
recruited to represent families of boys with paternal SUD (High Risk
or HR: N = 102) and boys without paternal SUD (Low Average Risk or LAR
: n = 166). These boys and a parental informant participated in semist
ructured diagnostic interviews at baseline and 2-year follow-up assess
ments (ages 12 through 14 years). Preadolescent tobacco experimentatio
n and early adolescent regular alcohol use were more prevalent in HR t
han in LAR subjects. Logistic regression analyses were utilized to dev
elop prediction equations. The presence of oppositional defiant disord
er and the absence of anxiety disorders predicted preadolescent tobacc
o use. Preadolescent conduct disorder predicted early adolescent regul
ar alcohol use. Preadolescent tobacco use and conduct disorder were hi
ghly predictive of early adolescent cannabis use, achieving 100% sensi
tivity with 76% specificity. Children with tobacco use prior to adoles
cence, as well as those with disruptive behavior disorders, may be imp
ortant to target for interventions to prevent cannabis use. (C) 1998 E
lsevier Science Ltd.