Ca. Polanczyk et al., CARDIAC TROPONIN-I AS A PREDICTOR OF MAJOR CARDIAC EVENTS IN EMERGENCY DEPARTMENT PATIENTS WITH ACUTE CHEST PAIN, Journal of the American College of Cardiology, 32(1), 1998, pp. 8-14
Objectives. We sought to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic value
of cardiac troponin I (cTnI) in emergency department (ED) patients wit
h chest pain. Background. Although cTnI has been shown to correlate wi
th an increased risk for complications in patients with unstable angin
a, the prognostic significance of this assay in the heterogeneous popu
lation of patients who present to the ED with chest pain is unclear. M
ethods. cTnI and creatine kinase MB fraction (CK-MB) mass concentratio
n were collected serially during the first 48 h from onset of symptoms
in 1,047 patients greater than or equal to 30 years old admitted for
acute chest pain. Sensitivity, specificity and receiver operating char
acteristic curves were calculated for cTnI and CK-MB collected in the
first 24 h. Results. The sensitivity, specificity and positive predict
ive value of cTnI for major cardiac events were 47%, 80% and 19%, resp
ectively. Among patients were who ruled out for myocardial infarction,
cTnI was elevated in 26% who had major cardiac complications compared
with 5% for CK MB; the positive predictive value for an abnormal cTnI
result was 8%. Elevated cTnI in the presence of ischemia on the elect
rocardiogram was associated with an adjusted odds ratio of 1.8 (95% co
nfidence interval 1.1 to 2.9) for major cardiac events within 72 h. Am
ong patients without a myocardial infarction or unstable angina, cTnI
was not an independent correlate of complications. Conclusions. In pat
ients presenting to the ED with acute chest pain, cTnI was an independ
ent predictor of major cardiac events. However, the positive predictiv
e value of an abnormal assay result was not high in this heterogeneous
cohort.