A new approach to monitoring batch processes using the process variabl
e trajectories is presented. It was developed to overcome the need in
the approach of Nomikos and MacGregor [P. Nomikos, J.F. MacGregor, Mon
itoring of batch processes using multi-way principal components analys
is, Am. Inst. Chem. Eng. J. 40 (1994) 1361-1375; P. Nomikos, J.F. MacG
regor, Multivariate SPC charts for batch processes, Technometrics 37 (
1995) 41-59; P. Nomikos, J.F. MacCregor, Multi-way partial least squar
es in monitoring batch processes, Chemometrics Intell, Lab. Syst. 30 (
1995) 97-108] for estimating or filling in the unknown part of the pro
cess variable trajectory deviations from the current time until the en
d of the batch. The approach is based on a recursive multi-block (hier
archical) PCA/PLS method which processes the data in a sequential and
adaptive manner. The rate of adaptation is easily controlled with a pa
rameter which controls the weighting of past data in an exponential ma
nner. The algorithm is evaluated on industrial batch polymerization pr
ocess data and is compared to the multi-way PCA/PLS approaches of Nomi
kos and MacGregor. The approach may have significant benefits when mon
itoring multi-stage batch processes where the latent variable structur
e can change at several points during the batch. (C) 1998 Elsevier Sci
ence B.V. All rights reserved.