Js. Wrobel et Je. Connolly, MAKING THE DIAGNOSIS OF OSTEOMYELITIS - THE ROLE OF PREVALENCE, Journal of the American Podiatric Medical Association, 88(7), 1998, pp. 337-343
Clinicians may have poor sensitivity in determining whether a given di
abetic patient with a foot ulcer has osteomyelitis. Thus many turn to
diagnostic tests. The literature was reviewed and data on the sensitiv
ity and specificity of five commonly used diagnostic tests were compil
ed. Using Bayes' theorem, the authors' analysis suggests that pretest
probability may be more important in the decision-making process than
individual test characteristics. Also, a positive probe-to-bone test i
s as predictive of osteomyelitis as the other four tests. A negative m
agnetic resonance imaging test most likely rules out osteomyelitis. In
terpretation of any test result is greatly influenced by the pretest p
robability of disease. Future work needs to focus on aiding the clinic
ian in determining the patient's probability of disease prior to testi
ng in order to optimize patient care.