RISK CLASSIFICATION BY FUZZY INFERENCE

Authors
Citation
Pj. Horgby, RISK CLASSIFICATION BY FUZZY INFERENCE, Geneva papers on risk and insurance. Theory, 23(1), 1998, pp. 63-82
Citations number
32
Categorie Soggetti
Economics,"Business Finance
ISSN journal
09264957
Volume
23
Issue
1
Year of publication
1998
Pages
63 - 82
Database
ISI
SICI code
0926-4957(1998)23:1<63:RCBFI>2.0.ZU;2-P
Abstract
Traditionally, policyholders in life insurance are classified in simpl e mortality tables, most often according to only a few risk characteri stics. Instead of a risk classification according to the numerical rat ing system, this article describes how to classify by using a fuzzy in ference methodology. By defining risk factors as fuzzy sets, it is sho wn that an insurer can utilize multiple prognostic factors that are im precise and vague. The presented fuzzy risk classification provides a more realistic way of modeling mortality risks since it allows for com pensations and interactions between multiple risk factors.