GEOPHYSICS, NATURAL-SELECTION, AND HYDROLOGICAL FORECASTING

This paper demonstrates how to reduce the uncertainty in long range hy drological forecasting through the use of models based on the interact ions between the oceans and the atmosphere, and the land surface and t he atmosphere. The numerical models are on a regional and global scale and provide the geophysical justification necessary for the confident use of these 'teleconnections' for climate/hydrological forecasts.