F. Taroni et Cgg. Aitken, PROBABILISTIC REASONING IN THE LAW - PART-2 - ASSESSMENT OF PROBABILITIES AND EXPLANATION OF THE VALUE OF TRACE EVIDENCE OTHER THAN DNA, Science & justice, 38(3), 1998, pp. 179-188
Problems associated with the interpretation of scientific evidence (fi
bres and glass) in forensic science are investigated with reference to
measures of uncertainty associated with the presentation of such evid
ence in an adversarial context. The investigation includes the use of
probabilistic arguments associated with expert scientific testimony in
the courts. Cases where scientific evidence has been presented in cou
rt are studied. A series of problems were developed for, and given to,
forensic medicine students, forensic science students and practitione
rs (advocates and forensic scientists) in Scotland to investigate thei
r understanding of uncertainty.