Bh. Wilkinson et al., MICHIGAN HOCKEY, METEORIC PRECIPITATION, AND RHYTHMICITY OF ACCUMULATION ON PERITIDAL CARBONATE PLATFORMS, Geological Society of America bulletin, 110(8), 1998, pp. 1075-1093
On Saturday afternoon March 30, 1996, the University of Michigan hocke
y team won the 1996 National Collegiate Athletic Association Division
I national championship. Durations between Wolverine goals, between op
ponent goals, and between all goals during the preceding 40-game regul
ar season each describe an exponential distribution in which duration
frequency depends only on number of shots on goal and probability of s
uccess, Compared to opponent scores, University of Michigan between-go
al duration frequencies describe a trend having a steeper slope (Unive
rsity of Michigan shot better) and a higher intercept (University of M
ichigan took more shots). Over much of the past 100 Sr, meteoric preci
pitation on Ann Arbor occurred during 11 949 days. Time durations of t
he 6401 precipitation episodes that occurred over this interval, as we
ll as durations of contiguous days of precipitation and contiguous day
s of drought, each define an exponential distribution in which duratio
n frequency is largely defined by total interval length (35 101 days)
and probability of precipitation (34%). Roadcuts near Wytheville, Virg
inia, provide spectacular exposures of a 303.7-m-thick section of peri
tidal carbonate in the Middle to Upper Cambrian Elbrook and Conocochea
gue Formations. Stratigraphic durations (thicknesses) of the 527 litho
logic units within this sequence, of the 265 ''cyclic'' upward-shallow
ing lithofacies associations that can be designated over this interval
, and of stratigraphic intervals between recurrences of like lithofaci
es, also define exponential distributions wherein frequency of stratig
raphic recurrence is only dependent on the total thickness and net abu
ndance of designated stratal elements. Frequency of goal scoring, and
frequency and/or magnitude of meteoric precipitation can be described
in terms of random, independent processes at short time scales. Simila
rly, exponential distributions of Lithologic and ''cyclic'' thickness
frequencies at Wytheville, Virginia (as well as in most other epicrato
nic peritidal sequences), indicate that meter-scale variation in carbo
nate deposition was predominantly controlled by stochastic (Poisson) p
rocesses that were largely unrelated to recurrent intrabasinal or extr
abasinal forcing and/or to periodic (rhythmic) sediment accumulation.