Tc. Ormerod et al., REASONING WITH 3 TYPES OF CONDITIONAL - BIASES AND MENTAL MODELS, The Quarterly journal of experimental psychology. A, Human experimental psychology, 46(4), 1993, pp. 653-677
Two experiments are reported which compare conditional reasoning with
three types of rule. These consist of two types of rule that have been
widely studied previously, if p then q and p only if q, together with
a third type, q if p. In both experiments, the p only if q type of ru
le yields a different pattern of performance from the two other types
of rule. Experiment 1 is an abstract rule-evaluation task and demonstr
ates differential effects of temporal order and of suppositional bias.
Experiment 2 investigates rule generation, rephrasing, and comparison
, and demonstrates differential effects of temporal order and of thema
tic content. An analysis of the results is offered in terms of biases
and mental models. Effects of rule form and context can be explained a
s reflecting the different sequences in which mental models are create
d for each rule form. However, it is necessary to consider the interna
l structure of individual mental models to account for effects arising
from temporal ordering of rules.