Of central concern to policy makers, the net incidence of fiscal polic
y is rarely calculated because of the lack of reliable data on the inc
idence of both taxes and expenditures. This paper calculates the combi
ned incidence of taxes and certain public expenditures in the Philippi
nes, using various short-cuts. We find that the incidence of indirect
taxes is broadly neutral, because of general-equilibrium effects. Exam
ining the regional allocation of expenditures and pattern of income di
stribution, we find that health, education and infrastructure expendit
ures are progressive. Our conclusion-that the net fiscal incidence in
the Philippines is progressive-appears robust to sensitivity analyses.
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