To determine the rates of change in bone mineral density (BMD) at the
spine in healthy Japanese women, longitudinal measurements of spinal B
MD using dual X-ray absorptiometry were collected from 984 women over
17 years of age (mean age 51.6) at eight medical research centers. The
y were followed up for 20.9 months on average without any treatment in
fluencing bone and calcium metabolism. Measurements of BMD obtained by
two different scanners were converted into standardized BMD (sBMD) va
lues. The multiple linear regression model predicts that spinal sBMD i
ncreases up to about 23 years of age: the estimated average rates of i
ncreases were 0.13%/year for women aged 20 years. After the age of 23,
the sBMD began decreasing: the rates of loss increased by 0.045%/year
for each year increase in age among premenopausal women. In perimenop
ausal women, the rate of loss was 2.1%/year. In postnatural menopausal
women, the rates of loss decreased exponentially with increasing year
s since menopause. The rates of loss increased by 0.04%/year for 1 kg
decrease in body weight or by 0.1%/year for 1 kg/m(2) decrease in body
mass index. No significant differences in changes in sBMD were found
between scanners and between centers after multiple adjustment. We con
clude that the rates of change in spinal sBMD are associated with age
in premenopausal women, and with years since menopause and weight or B
MI in postmenopausal women. Caution is needed, however, when using dat
a from different densitometers to evaluate rates in bone loss in multi
center trials.