Ms. Chan et al., PREDICTING THE IMPACT OF SCHOOL-BASED TREATMENT FOR URINARY SCHISTOSOMIASIS GIVEN BY THE GHANA PARTNERSHIP FOR CHILD-DEVELOPMENT, Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 92(4), 1998, pp. 386-389
Citations number
16
Categorie Soggetti
Public, Environmental & Occupation Heath","Tropical Medicine
Mathematical models can be used to predict the impact of interventions
to control infectious diseases. In this paper, an epidemiological mod
el is used to predict the impact of chemotherapy of school-age childre
n infected with Schistosoma haematobium, in a programme conducted by t
he Ghana Partnership for Child Development in the Volta Region, Ghana.
Existing data were used to validate the predictions of the model, dem
onstrating convincingly the ability of the model to make correct predi
ctions. Predictions of trends in mean egg count, infection prevalence
and prevalence of heavy infection (>50 eggs/10 mL urine) were then mad
e for the period 1997-1999, and will be compared to the data collected
in the programme in the future.