PURPOSE: To discuss how the evolution of vestibular schwannoma radiosu
rgery, changes in health care delivery, and patient accessibility to m
edical information will affect the management of vestibular schwannoma
s in the future. CONCEPT: In comparison with microsurgical resection o
f vestibular schwannomas, radiosurgery has a lower morbidity rate, a s
imilar risk of requiring further surgery, and higher patient satisfact
ion. As this information becomes more widely available to patients and
third-party payors, radiosurgery may replace surgical resection as th
e preferred management strategy for patients with small to medium size
d vestibular schwannomas in the United States. RATIONALE: It is estima
ted that 2500 patients are diagnosed with vestibular schwannomas each
year in the United States. Assuming that 80% undergo surgery, 2000 ope
rations are performed annually for newly diagnosed vestibular schwanno
mas. Data available since 1987 regarding the number of cases for which
gamma knife radiosurgery was performed were used to predict the numbe
r of patients who will undergo vestibular schwannoma radiosurgery in t
he future. if the current trend continues, an equal number of patients
will undergo surgical resection and radiosurgery to treat their vesti
bular schwannomas (similar to 1000/yr) sometime between 2005 and 2010.
Moreover, it is predicted that by 2020, two-thirds of the patients wh
o are newly diagnosed with vestibular schwannomas will undergo radiosu
rgery, with surgical resection being reserved for patients with large
tumors associated with symptomatic brain stem compression. DISCUSSION:
Early data regarding vestibular schwannoma radiosurgery predicted an
exponential growth curve. Although it is premature to assume that the
current trend will continue, it is likely that an ever increasing perc
entage of patients wilt undergo radiosurgery as accessibility to this
alternative increases, and more data are published regarding long-term
tumor growth control rates. If the mathematical model proves to be ac
curate, then stereotactic radiosurgery will replace surgical resection
as the preferred management strategy for the majority of patients wit
h vestibular schwannomas.