The significance of nonspecific bronchial hyperreactivity (BHR) is a c
ontroversial issue in asthma. The natural history of BHR has not been
investigated adequately although its importance as a cross-sectional r
isk factor for asthma is widely accepted. This paper investigates the
risk factors for wheeze among people with BHR. Subjects were young adu
lts who had participated in the second phase of the European Community
Respiratory Health Survey in Melbourne, Australia. We compared the pa
rticipants with wheeze and BHR (n = 186) to those with asymptomatic BH
R (n = 66). Information was collected on sociodemographic factors, fam
ily history of asthma, and relevant environmental factors using an int
erviewer-administered questionnaire. Atopy to a range of aeroallergens
was examined by skin prick tests. Risk factors were examined by adjus
ting the odds ratios (OR) by a logistic regression to control for conf
ounding effects. Parental asthma (OR = 4.2), keeping pets during child
hood (OR = 3.3), allergy to house dust mite (OR = 2.7), allergic rhini
tis (OR = 2.6), and having ever smoked (OR = 2.4) were associated with
an increased risk of wheeze, independent of the other factors examine
d. When allergic rhinitis was not included as an explanatory variable,
being atopic to any of the allergens assessed was found to increase t
he risk of current wheeze (OR = 4.8). Allergic rhinitis may represent
an intermediate stage in the natural history of BHR. Avoidance of pets
during childhood, not smoking, and taking steps to minimize dust expo
sure are likely to prevent the progression from asymptomatic BHR to as
thma.