An important and still unsolved problem in gene prediction is designin
g an algorithm that not only predicts genes but estimates the quality
of individual predictions as well. Since experimental biologists are i
nterested mainly in the reliability of individual predictions (rather
than in the average reliability of an algorithm) we attempted to devel
op a gene recognition algorithm that guarantees a certain quality of p
redictions. We demonstrate here that the similarity level with a relat
ed protein is a reliable quality estimator for the spliced alignment a
pproach to gene recognition. We also study the average performance of
the spliced alignment algorithm for different targets on a complete se
t of human genomic sequences with known relatives and demonstrate that
the average performance of the method remains high even for very dist
ant targets. Using plant, fungal, and prokaryotic target proteins for
recognition of human genes leads to accurate predictions with 95, 93,
and 91% correlation coefficient, respectively. For target proteins wit
h similarity score above 60%, not only the average correlation coeffic
ient is very high (97% and up) but also the quality of individual pred
ictions is guaranteed to be at least 82%. It indicates that for this l
evel of similarity the worst case performance of the spliced alignment
algorithm is better than the average case performance of many statist
ical gene recognition methods. (C) 1998 Academic Press