Mj. Duncan et Jj. Lissauer, THE EFFECTS OF POST-MAIN-SEQUENCE SOLAR MASS-LOSS ON THE STABILITY OFOUR PLANETARY SYSTEM, Icarus (New York, N.Y. 1962), 134(2), 1998, pp. 303-310
We present the results of extensive long-term integrations of systems
of planets with orbits initially identical to subsets of the planets w
ithin our Solar System, but with the Sun's mass decreased relative to
the masses of the planets, For systems based on the giant planets, we
find an approximate power-law correlation between the time elapsed unt
il a pair of planetary orbits cross and the solar-to-planetary-mass ra
tio, provided that this ratio is less than or similar to 0.4 times its
current value, However, deviations from this relationship at larger r
atios suggest that this correlation may not be useful in predicting th
e lifetime of the current system. Detailed simulations of the evolutio
n of planetary orbits through the solar mass loss phase at the end of
the Sun's main-sequence lifetime suggest that the orbits of those terr
estrial planets that survive the Sun's red giant phase are likely to r
emain stable for (possibly much) longer than a billion years and those
of the giant planets are likely to remain stable for (possibly much)
more than ten billion years. Pluto is likely to escape from its curren
t 2:3 mean-motion resonance with Neptune within a few billion years be
yond the Sun's main sequence lifetime if subject only to gravitational
forces; its prognosis is likely to be even poorer when nongravitation
al forces are included. Implications for the effects of stellar mass l
oss on the stability of other planetary systems are discussed. (C) 199
8 Academic Press.