Ra. Hill et Rim. Dunbar, AN EVALUATION OF THE ROLES OF PREDATION RATE AND PREDATION RISK AS SELECTIVE PRESSURES ON PRIMATE GROUPING BEHAVIOR, Behaviour, 135, 1998, pp. 411-430
Establishing the importance of predation pressure in determining prima
te social structure has generated a great deal of discussion. However,
the substantive issues in this debate have been obscured by a conflat
ion of the respective roles of predation risk and predation rate as se
lective forces. In addition, the reported relationships between predat
ion rate and both group size and body weight are likely to be confound
ed by the effects of reproductive rate and activity period. We propose
that the level of sustainable predation rate for a species is determi
ned by the rate at which it is able to reproduce, and that, within thi
s constraint, a species adjusts its body weight and a population its g
roup size so as to reduce predation rate to some tolerable level. In e
ffect, the observed predation rate is the excess mortality from predat
ion that animals are unable to control by adjusting their behaviour. T
his implies that there should be no relationship between predation rat
e and either group size or body weight, once the effects of reproducti
ve rate and activity period are removed. We analyse data from the prim
ate literature and show that reproductive rate is indeed the best pred
ictor of a species' predation rate, and that the reported relationship
s with group size are entirely attributable to a combination of the in
clusion of nocturnal species which do not use group size as an antipre
dator response and the confounding effects of reproductive rate. We di
scuss these findings in the light of current investigations on predati
on risk, and conclude that an understanding of the role of predation a
s a selective pressure on primates will only be achieved by attempts t
o study the factors that are important in determining a primate's perc
eived risk of predation.