J. Jernvall et Pc. Wright, DIVERSITY COMPONENTS OF IMPENDING PRIMATE EXTINCTIONS, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United Statesof America, 95(19), 1998, pp. 11279-11283
Many extant species are at risk to go ex:tinct, This impending loss of
species is likely to cause changes in future ecosystem functions. Eco
logical components of diversity, such as dietary or habitat specializa
tions, can he used to estimate the impact of extinctions on ecosystem
functions. As an approach to estimate the impact of future extinctions
, we tested interdependency between ecological and taxonomic change ba
sed on current predictions of extinction rates in primates, We analyze
d the ecological characteristics of extant primate faunas having speci
es in various categories of endangerment of extinction and forecasted
the future primate faunas as if they were paleontological faunas. Pred
icting future faunas combines the wealth of ecological information on
living primates with large, fossil record-like changes in diversity. P
redicted extinction patterns of living primates in Africa, Asia, Madag
ascar, and South America show that changes in ecology differ among the
regions in ways that are not reducible to taxonomic measures. The eco
logical effects of primate extinctions are initially least severe in S
outh America and larger in Asia and Africa. Disproportionately larger
ecological changes are projected for Madagascar. The use of taxonomy a
s a proxy for ecology can mislead when estimating competence of future
primate ecosystems.