A swirling jet, emerging normal to a plane, serves as a model of a tor
nado and is characterized by its flow force and outer circulation. Thi
s model is examined here using the full Navier-Stokes equations. Three
branches of solutions are found which form a hysteresis loop and a cu
sp catastrophe that means jump transitions between flow regimes. One o
f the jumps relates to vortex breakdown and the other relates to a new
(opposite) effect: abrupt vortex consolidation. These results are com
pared with those of Long [J. Fluid Mech. 11, 611 (1961)], who consider
ed a near-axis et in the boundary layer approximation. More detailed a
nalysis made here for high circulation values allows discovery of two
new types of asymptotic solutions corresponding to a near-plane fan je
t and a two-cell flow. It was also found that the boundary layer appro
ach for the near-axis jet fails to accurately yield the total flow for
ce because the outer flow contributes a share of the momentum flux of
comparable magnitude to that of the inner flow. The prediction of the
jump transitions between one- and two-cell flow patterns agrees with o
bservations of abrupt changes in tornado patterns in nature.