The 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments initiated the first large-scale use
of the tradable permit approach to pollution control. The theoretical
case for this approach rests on the assumption of an efficient market
for emission rights. Our empirical analysis shows that the emission ri
ghts market created by the 1990 Amendments had become reasonably effic
ient by mid-1994, We! also show that the auctions specified in the Ame
ndments to jump-start trading had become a small part of the overall m
arket. Finally, we demonstrate that the strategic bidding behavior dis
cussed in the literature has had no effect on market prices.