GEOCYBERNETICS - CONTROLLING A COMPLEX DYNAMICAL SYSTEM UNDER UNCERTAINTY

Citation
Hj. Schellnhuber et J. Kropp, GEOCYBERNETICS - CONTROLLING A COMPLEX DYNAMICAL SYSTEM UNDER UNCERTAINTY, Naturwissenschaften, 85(9), 1998, pp. 411-425
Citations number
62
Categorie Soggetti
Multidisciplinary Sciences
Journal title
ISSN journal
00281042
Volume
85
Issue
9
Year of publication
1998
Pages
411 - 425
Database
ISI
SICI code
0028-1042(1998)85:9<411:G-CACD>2.0.ZU;2-V
Abstract
Global change, i.e. the mega-process radically transforming the relati onship between nature and human civilization since the end of World Wa r II, is investigated from the point of view of systems analysis. It i s argued that this unbridled process should rather be domesticated by planetary control strategies transpiring from a new science called ''g eocybernetics''. The formal aspects of geocybernetic theory are sketch ed and illustrated in a tutorial theatre world reflecting the overall environment and development problematic. Within this setting a straigh tforward operationalization of the sweeping ''sustainable development' ' ideal through a set of concise paradigms can be achieved. Evidence i s provided that geocybernetics is actually feasible on the basis of ea rth system modelling and fuzzy-control techniques.