A kinematic analysis is made of solar wind driven temporal variations
in the heliospheric termination shock distance. This has become possib
le because the large-scale dynamics of, and temporal variations in the
distant solar wind are now well enough known from a combination of in
situ and remote measurements. Conversely, nothing is known of the cor
responding properties in the local interstellar medium, and hence thes
e will be ignored. Given specific assumptions for how the termination
shock responds to solar wind fluctuations, it is shown that the termin
ation shock is very agile, moving in and out by up to a few AU in a mo
nth. This conclusion holds for a broad range of shock response assumpt
ions. Because a spacecraft moves slowly in comparison to the terminati
on shock, the shock will sweep back and forth over the spacecraft once
the shock is first encountered.