This article describes the results of several research programmes that toge
ther aim at the development and application of methodologies that enable th
e study of long-term environmental effects (mainly related to the total hou
sehold energy demand) of household consumption in relation to other economi
c sectors; this is usually described as the household metabolism approach.
In this article we use energy consumption and CO2 emissions as proxies for
long-term impacts on the environment. The major long-term environmental eff
ects of several hundred Dutch household consumption categories have been de
termined by means of the hybrid energy analysis methodology. Total energy c
onsumption and related CO2 emission data have been calculated as a function
of household income and family type. Past trends have been studied by a ti
me series (1950-1990) analysis. Technical reduction potentials have been ca
lculated for mid and long-term scenarios. It is concluded that the set of m
ethodologies described form a useful tool for the analysis of unsustainable
trends in household consumption patterns and associated energy requirement
s in the past and the present. The results indicate that present trends lea
d towards unsustainability. However, reversal of these trends is feasible i
f this starts in the immediate future and if it is maintained for decades.
(C) 1999 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.