S. Hainzl et al., Similar power laws for foreshock and aftershock sequences in a spring-block model for earthquakes, J GEO R-SOL, 104(B4), 1999, pp. 7243-7253
We introduce a crust relaxation process in a continuous cellular automaton
version of the Burridge and Knopoff [1967] model. The most important model
parameters are the level of conservation and the ratio of the crust relaxat
ion time to the tectonic reloading time. In correspondence with the origina
l spring-block model, the modified model displays a robust power law distri
bution of event sizes. The principal new result obtained with our model is
the spatiotemporal clustering of events exhibiting several characteristics
of earthquakes in nature. Large events are followed by aftershock sequences
obeying the Omori [1894] law and preceded by localized foreshocks, which a
re initiated after a time period of seismic quiescence. While we observe a
considerable variability of precursory seismicity, we find that the rate of
foreshocks increases on average, according to a power law with an exponent
q, which is in good agreement with the exponent p of the Omori law. In con
trast to other events, the distribution of foreshock sizes is characterized
by a significantly smaller Richter B value. Our model reproduces simultane
ously the empirically observed values of the power law exponents, the Richt
er B, p and q, and their variability.