This study was conducted to describe the utilization of plain radiogra
phy in the initial evaluation of shoulder pain in the emergency depart
ment (ED) and assess the feasibility of developing guidelines for the
selective use of shoulder radiographs by determining whether clinical
variables are able to discriminate between subjects having therapeutic
ally informative versus uninformative X-rays. The study was a chart re
view of all adult ED patients presenting to the Boston University Medi
cal Center Hospital (Boston, MA) between January 1994 and January 1996
with a chief complaint that included shoulder pain. Subjects with X-r
ays were classified into two groups, those with therapeutically inform
ative X-rays tie, identified conditions requiring specific therapy) an
d those with therapeutically uninformative X-rays tie, did not result
in specific therapy). Recursive partitioning techniques were then used
to identify clinical variables that best distinguished between therap
eutically informative and uninformative radiographs. Three hundred twe
lve patients were included in the analysis, of whom 185 (59%) had shou
lder X-rays performed. Thirty-seven (20%) radiographs were therapeutic
ally informative, including 13 glenohumeral dislocations, 3 acromiocla
vicular joint separations, and 21 fractures. Deformity present on shou
lder examination was the strongest discriminating variable and correct
ly classified 21 of 23 subjects as having informative X-rays. Of the r
emaining patients (n = 162), only those older than 43.5 years with a h
istory of a precipitating fall (n = 40) had a high likelihood of havin
g therapeutically informative X-rays. No patients without a deformity
or precipitating fall (n = 90) had an informative X-ray. These data sh
ow that X-rays for the initial evaluation of shoulder pain in the ED a
re overutilized. This preliminary model suggests that clinical variabl
es are able to distinguish between patients with informative versus un
informative X-rays. Prospective studies are needed to derive valid dec
ision rules for selective use of shoulder radiographs in the ED. (Am J
Emerg Med 1998;16:560 563. Copyright (C) 1998 by W.B. Saunders Compan
y).