S. Fan et al., A LARGE TERRESTRIAL CARBON SINK IN NORTH-AMERICA IMPLIED BY ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC CARBON-DIOXIDE DATA AND MODELS, Science, 282(5388), 1998, pp. 442-446
Atmospheric carbon dioxide increased at a rate of 2.8 petagrams of car
bon per year (Pg C year(-1)) during 1988 to 1992 (1 Pg = 10(15) grams)
. Given estimates of fossil carbon dioxide,emissions, and net oceanic
uptake, this implies a global terrestrial uptake of 1.0 to 2.2 Pg C ye
ar(-1). The spatial distribution of the terrestrial carbon dioxide upt
ake is estimated by means of the observed spatial patterns of the grea
tly increased atmospheric carbon dioxide data set available from 1988
onward, together with two atmospheric transport models, two estimates
of the sea-air flux, and an estimate of the spatial distribution of fo
ssil carbon dioxide emissions. North America is the best constrained c
ontinent, with a mean uptake of 1.7 +/- 0.5 Pg C year(-1), mostly sout
h of 51 degrees north. Eurasia-North Africa is relatively weakly const
rained, with a mean uptake of 0.1 +/- 0.6 Pg C year(-1). The rest of t
he world's land surface is poorly constrained, with a mean source of 0
.2 +/- 0.9 Pg C year(-1).