Mp. Webber et al., TEMPORAL TRENDS IN THE PROGRESSION OF HUMAN-IMMUNODEFICIENCY-VIRUS DISEASE IN A COHORT OF DRUG-USERS, Epidemiology, 9(6), 1998, pp. 613-617
We evaluated changes over time in rates of progression to AIDS, mortal
ity, and distribution of AIDS-defining illnesses in 524 human immunode
ficiency virus (HIV) seropositive injection drug! users enrolled betwe
en 1986 and 1995 in a prospective study of HIV infection in the Bronx,
NY. At enrollment, participants attended a hospital-affiliated methad
one maintenance program with on site primary care. Using the 1993 clin
ical definition of AIDS, we found that the hazard ratio (HR) of progre
ssion to AIDS declined for enrollees over time in comparison with the
referent group of persons enrolled in 1986-1987. For program enrollees
in 1988-1989, the HR was 1.0 [95% confidence interval(CI) = 0.6-1.6];
for enrollees in 1990-1991, the HR was 0.3 (95% CI = 0.1-0.9); for en
rollees in 1992-1993, the HR was 0.5 (95% CI = 0.3-0.9); and for enrol
lees in 1994-1995, the HR was 0.2 (95% CI = 0.1-0.7), after controllin
g on initial CD4(+) cell counts and age. Nevertheless, the greater AID
S-free time of later study entrants was not associated with reduced mo
rtality. The study provides evidence that drug users with access to pr
imary care likely benefited from improved management of HIV disease in
prolonging AIDS-free time but, through 1996, did not experience great
er survival.