OBJECTIVE: We assessed several variables as predictors for pre-eclamps
ia risk in a group of women at high risk. STUDY DESIGN: We studied 250
3 women with either diabetes mellitus, chronic hypertension, multifeta
l gestation, or pre-eclampsia in a previous pregnancy who participated
in a multicenter study comparing aspirin and placebo in preventing pr
e-eclampsia. We evaluated multiple variables for predicting pre-eclamp
sia risk with use of univariate and multivariable analysis. RESULTS: P
arity and mean arterial pressure at randomization were most predictive
of pre-eclampsia risk. The risk was 8% with a mean arterial pressure
at enrollment of <75 mm Hg versus 27% with a mean arterial pressure >8
5 mm Hg (relative risk and 95% confidence interval 3.3 [2.4 to 4.4]).
The risk of pre-eclampsia was 26% in nulliparous patients versus 17% i
n parous subjects (relative risk and 95% confidence interval 1.5 [1.3-
1.8]). CONCLUSIONS: The finding that second-trimester mean arterial pr
essure affects pre-eclampsia risk suggests that the pathophysiologic p
rocess of preeclampsia is initiated before that time.