There has been little research to date on the factors which predict hi
gh anxiety in family members or carers before bereavement. Our study u
sed data on 302 patients for whom the family's anxiety had been record
ed by cancer palliative care teams in the last weeks of the patient's
life. Variables known at the time of the patient's referral to the tea
ms were entered into a discriminant analysis. A predictive function wi
th a sensitivity of 0.75 and a specificity of 0.51 identified those fa
milies whose anxiety was rated as severe (3-4 on a scale of 0-4) durin
g the month before the patient's death. Important predictors were: whe
ther the family member was a spouse, a diagnosis of breast cancer, you
ng age, the time from diagnosis and low patient mobility. There was a
small significant correlation between a longer time in palliative care
and lower family anxiety. The predictive model could be used by oncol
ogists to identify cases where greater psychological support will be n
eeded. Copyright (C) 1996 Elsevier Science Ltd.