Ma. Clilverd et al., INCREASED MAGNETIC STORM ACTIVITY FROM 1868 TO 1995, Journal of atmospheric and solar-terrestrial physics, 60(10), 1998, pp. 1047-1056
The aa index provides the longest continuous data set which can be use
d in the analysis of magnetospheric and ionospheric phenomenology. All
phases of the solar cycle show increases in activity since cycle 14.
The activity increase does not appear to be associated with any instru
mental, ionospheric or magnetospheric effects. Barely significant effe
cts (in terms of the results presented in this paper) have been identi
fied in the long-term change in magnetic latitude of the observatory s
ites, the positions of high-latitude ionospheric features such as the
cusp, and ionospheric Pedersen and Hall conductivities due to changing
magnetic field orientation and strength. The prime cause of the chang
e in geomagnetic activity is an increase in solar activity. The number
of storms at solar minimum has typically increased by 40% more than t
he other phases. This is principally due to increased recurrent storm
activity to such an extent that conditions at minimum in recent cycles
could be thought of as being more representative of the declining pha
se. (C) 1998 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.