R. Montironi et al., CASE DIAGNOSIS AS POSITIVE IDENTIFICATION IN PROSTATIC NEOPLASIA, Analytical and quantitative cytology and histology, 20(5), 1998, pp. 424-436
OBJECTIVE: To apply a distance measure and Bayesian belief network-bas
ed methodology to the positive identification of case diagnosis in pro
static neoplasia. STUDY DESIGN: Eight morphologic and cellular feature
s were analyzed in 20 cases of normal prostate, 20 of low grade prosta
tic intraepithelial neoplasia (PIN), 20 of high grade PIN, 20 of prost
atic adenocarcinoma with a cribriform pattern and 20 of prostatic aden
ocarcinoma with an acinar pattern. The diagnostic distance was evaluat
ed to measure the ''extent'' to which the feature outcomes of the indi
vidual cases differed from the expected profile of outcomes in typical
cases of normal prostate, low and high grade PIN, and cribriform and
large acinar adenocarcinoma. Belief values were evaluated with a Bayes
ian belief network (BBN). RESULTS: A bivariate representation of the c
umulative absolute diagnostic distances of all the cases from the prot
otypes of normal prostate and cribriform adenocarcinoma was made. Thre
e separate groups of cases were observed, corresponding to normal pros
tate, low grade PIN and cribriform adenocarcinoma. An additional group
was formed by the cases of high grade PIN and acinar adenocarcinoma-i
.e. there was complete overlap between the diagnostic distance values
of cases belonging to these two categories. However, these cases showe
d differences in clue outcomes. To explore the contribution of such ob
servations to case identification, a bivariate representation of the d
iagnostic distances from high grade PIN and acinar adenocarcinoma was
made. The cases then formed five separate groups corresponding to the
five diagnostic categories. When the individual cases were considered,
their shortest distance was from the prototype of the category into w
hich they were originally diagnosed. The BBN gave these diagnostic cat
egories the highest belief values. CONCLUSION: The combined evaluation
of diagnostic distance and belief represents an identification proced
ure. The numeric value of certainty characterizes individual cases acc
ording to the level of progression from PIN toward cancer.