M. Elarabawy et al., WATER-RESOURCES IN EGYPT - STRATEGIES FOR THE NEXT CENTURY, Journal of water resources planning and management, 124(6), 1998, pp. 310-319
Knowledge of anticipated demands for water is a crucial element in wat
er planning. The logical sequence in water resources planning is to ex
amine the present demands of water for all purposes, to determine how
the demand in various sectors will be affected by growth, and then to
project what the water demands will be in the short- and long-term fut
ure. The first part of this paper deals with Egypt's water demands, wi
th each aspect being calculated for the present and future. In the sec
ond part, an effort is made to quantify the water from each possible s
ource to estimate the potential for future water supply. Balances are
then examined with possible combinations of policies and scenarios lea
ding to numerous planning alternatives. The conclusion is that Egypt i
s water secure until 2000, remedial measures will extend this until 20
20, and beyond that additional surface supply is essential. Finally, t
he water shortages or excesses are quantified and recommendations are
made based on the most probable future directions.