M. Divinsky et al., PROBABILISTIC APPROACH TO PAVEMENT DESIGN BASED ON GENERALIZED CALIFORNIA BEARING RATIO EQUATION, Journal of transportation engineering, 124(6), 1998, pp. 582-588
In order to realize the thickness design of flexible pavements at a gi
ven probability level, supplementary analysis of the generalized CBR e
quation was carried out. Investigation includes verification of the eq
uation parameters, analysis of the model transformation, and determina
tion of the corresponding confidence intervals. Suggested approximatio
ns of the constructed confidence limits for the generalized CBR equati
on curve enable the implementing of the thickness design for flexible
pavements, especially airfields, with a given probability level. For a
practical application of the probabilistic approach, a computer progr
am was prepared. An example of thickness design for the flexible pavem
ent at a given probability level is presented. The results of the work
provide controlled employment of the generalized CBR equation, thus i
ncreasing the reliability of the predictions and conclusions in the de
sign and evaluation of flexible pavements.