C. Guo, MAPPING THE TERM STRUCTURE OF INTEREST-RATES INTO A 3-DIMENSIONAL SIMPLEX, Canadian journal of the Administrative Sciences Association of Canada, 14(1), 1997, pp. 93-102
This paper presents a simple algebraic representation of the discount
function as a constrained linear combination of four exponential funct
ions. By restricting its three term structure coefficients within a th
ree-dimensional simplex constraint set, the exponential-quadrinomial m
odel guarantees the term structure to have a positive discount functio
n, yield function and forward function over the entire maturity range.
The model lends to a simple formula that represents the present value
of any bond by a constrained linear combination of four hypothetical
present values of the bond, plus a tax adjustment The formula maps the
market term structure underlying the observable bonds into the simple
x by a simple ordinary least squares regression.