Background and Objectives: Tumor thickness is considered the single mo
st important predictor of survival in clinically localized malignant m
elanoma. A recent study found tumor volume a more sensitive predictor
of survival than thickness. Volume measurement, however, is complicate
d, time consuming, and based on biologically imprecise mathematical mo
dels of tumor configuration. This report compares the prognostic power
of cross-sectional area (CSA), a simpler measurement than volume, wit
h tumor thickness. Methods: Forty-five patients with clinically locali
zed malignant melanoma and a minimum 5-year follow-up post excision wi
th negative resection margins were retrospectively followed for diseas
e recurrence or death. Digitalized histologic images of each tumor wer
e made from the original pathology slides and stored on a compact disc
. Maximum tumor thickness and CSA were calculated for each primary mel
anoma using an image analysis program and compared for predictive accu
racy of 5-year survival. Results: CSA was positively correlated with m
aximum tumor thickness (r = 0.76). Both measures had a similar predict
ive accuracy for survival. Patients with melanomas less than 8 mm(2) h
ad superior 5-year (94%) and disease-free survival rates (78%) compare
d to patients with melanomas exceeding 8 mm(2) (5-year survival, 62%;
5-year disease-free survival, 23%). Conclusions: CSA is an easily calc
ulated measurement that is as predictive for 5-year survival as is Bre
slow's thickness. Prospective assessment Of CSA is warranted. (C) 1998
Wiley-Liss, Inc.