GROUND TEMPERATURE CURRENTS AND EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

Based on the theory of blown-ups, as described by OuYang in 1995 and 1 994, for nonlinear dynamic systems on general pansystems transformatio n, optimization and panderivatives, etc., in this paper, we employ the method, developed in OuYang (1994) to show that the blown-ups of the nonlinear heat conductive equation is similar to the evolution of obse rvable ground temperature ''currents''. According to this analysis, we conduct a simulation based on the historical data of Tang Shan Earthq uake in 1976. The simulation results show that: the blown-ups of the g round temperature ''currents'' around the earthquake area can be appli ed to predict forthcoming earthquakes. As for the most disastrous Tang Shan Earthquake, the prediction time is about five months in advance. If the ground temperature ''current'' that embodies the earth's crust movement satisfies the unintegrable panderivative equation, we can wi th enough information demonstrate blown-up mechanism and forecast rele vant earthquakes.