Gk. Rangarajan et T. Araki, MULTIPLE TIMESCALES IN THE FLUCTUATIONS OF THE EQUATORIAL DST INDEX THROUGH SINGULAR SPECTRUM ANALYSIS, Journal of Geomagnetism and Geoelectricity, 49(1), 1997, pp. 3-20
The equatorial Dst index for the period 1957-1994 is analysed using th
e data-adaptive, noise-reducing technique of Singular Spectral Analysi
s (SSA) in many time scales covering annual, monthly, daily and hourly
mean values. The salient features of the results are (i) the presence
of a long term trend and a none-too-consistent and weak solar cycle v
ariation in phase opposition with the solar activity, (ii) a well defi
ned similar to 44 month oscillation with almost constant amplitude thr
oughout the period of analysis with no dependence on solar activity, (
iii) an intermittantly strong quasibiennial oscillation with largest a
mplitudes in the recent years 1990-1993 and (iv) the consistent presen
ce of annual variation with some amplitude modulation and a semiannual
variation whose amplitude is independent of solar activity. Daily mea
n values of Dst, during an interval of intense recurrent activity, sho
ws differences in its periodic behavior compared to the AE and Ap indi
ces. An index of middle latitudes, recently proposed, is shown to beha
ve somewhat differently from expectations probably because of inadequa
te compensation for the quiet day component. Storm time changes in Dst
index, as brought out by the analysis of 10 long-duration severe geom
agnetic disturbances are characterised by periodicities of about 20 ho
urs and 40 hours, in two separate spectral bands. This is suggested to
be due to the corresponding fluctuations in the energy injection into
the ring current. In most cases, the singular spectra indicate that o
nly about 60 percent of the total variance in the Dst index could be a
ccounted forby regular variations and the rest corresponding to a larg
e ''noise floor'' in the spectra.