On the asymptotic optimality of the comb strategy for prediction with expert advice

Citation
Bayraktar Erhan et al., On the asymptotic optimality of the comb strategy for prediction with expert advice, Annals of applied probability , 30(6), 2020, pp. 2517-2546
ISSN journal
10505164
Volume
30
Issue
6
Year of publication
2020
Pages
2517 - 2546
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
For the problem of prediction with expert advice in the adversarial setting with geometric stopping, we compute the exact leading order expansion for the long time behavior of the value function. Then, we use this expansion to prove that as conjectured in Gravin, Peres and Sivan (In Proceedings of the Twenty-Seventh Annual ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (2016) 528.547, ACM), the comb strategies are indeed asymptotically optimal for the adversary in the case of 4 experts.