Beating the omega clock: An optimal stopping problem with random time-horizon under spectrally negative Lévy models

Citation
Rodosthenous, Neofytos et Zhang, Hongzhong, Beating the omega clock: An optimal stopping problem with random time-horizon under spectrally negative Lévy models, Annals of applied probability , 28(4), 2018, pp. 2105-2140
ISSN journal
10505164
Volume
28
Issue
4
Year of publication
2018
Pages
2105 - 2140
Database
ACNP
SICI code
Abstract
We study the optimal stopping of an American call option in a random time-horizon under exponential spectrally negative Lévy models. The random time-horizon is modeled as the so-called Omega default clock in insurance, which is the first time when the occupation time of the underlying Lévy process below a level y, exceeds an independent exponential random variable with mean 1/q>0. We show that the shape of the value function varies qualitatively with different values of q and y. In particular, we show that for certain values of q and y, some quantitatively different but traditional up-crossing strategies are still optimal, while for other values we may have two disconnected continuation regions, resulting in the optimality of two-sided exit strategies. By deriving the joint distribution of the discounting factor and the underlying process under a random discount rate, we give a complete characterization of all optimal exercising thresholds. Finally, we present an example with a compound Poisson process plus a drifted Brownian motion.